THE GRADING DECISION
Is it worth grading?
Pick a card. Pick your condition. We'll tell you if the math says grade it or sell it raw.
RAW CARD CONDITION
GRADING SERVICE
THE MATH SAYS
GRADE IT
Expected upside of grading: +$588.00 vs selling raw
The Math
GRADE OUTCOME PROBABILITIES (BASED ON NEAR MINT)
PSA 1030% chance
$2,947
+$1,431 profit
PSA 955% chance
$1,367
+$71.00 profit
PSA 8 or below15% chance
$998.00
$-246.00 profit
SELL RAW TODAY
$894.00
NET AFTER eBay FEES & SHIPPING
Sale price: $1,050
- eBay fee (13.95%): -$146.48
- Shipping: -$10.00
Time to cash: ~7 days
GRADE FIRST (EXPECTED VALUE)
$1,482
WEIGHTED AVG NET
Grading cost: -$45.00
eBay fees: -$249.10
Shipping: -$10.00
Time to cash: ~55 days
All 3 Services Side-by-Side
SERVICE
COST
TURNAROUND
EST. 10 PRICE
EV UPSIDE
PSA
$45.00
45d
$2,947
+$588.00
CGC
$33.00
28d
$2,210
+$313.00
BGS
$52.00
60d
$2,505
+$338.00
Pop Report Context
~562 PSA 10s exist for this card. As population grows, PSA 10 premium typically compresses. Heavily populated cards (5,000+) see diminishing returns from grading.
Estimates only. Actual grades depend on centering, corners, edges, and surface. Consider pre-grading inspection if the math is close. Assumes eBay sale with 13.95% fee + $10 shipping.